Worldwide Technology Industries notebook computer shipments
will post better-than-expected figures in the II quarter of this year thanks to
launches of new technology chips and ultra slim laptops, as well as a recovery
in hard drive disk HDD supply, British investment bank predictedThe top five original
design manufacturers are Quanta Computer Inc Company (廣達), Compal Electronics
Inc Company (仁寶),
Wistron Corp Company (緯創), Inventec Corp Company (英業達) and Pegatron Corp Company (和碩),
and they account for about 90 percent of global notebook shipments.. After
three consecutive quarters of lower-than-average seasonal shipments, Barclays
Capital is looking for personal computer shipments to beat seasonal expectations
for the I time in four quarters. The bank British expects note book shipments
from top-tier Taiwanese original design manufacturers to grow 8 percent in the
second quarter of this year and hit 39.8 million units, better than the
seasonal average of 6 percent growth.
“We believe most of the shipment upside is due to
channel inventory refilling for Intel Corp’s new Ivy Bridge chips and the next
generation of Ultra book launches, combined with hard drive disk (HDD) price
declines from better supply availability,” said Kirk Yang, head of Asia
ex- Japan tech hardware research at Barclays Bank, Hong Kong. “However, the
recent change of Chongqing’s leadership in China could bring significant
uncertainties for this new western China manufacturing center in terms of the
new government’s commitment and future financial incentives for note book original
design manufacturers,” he wrote in a report to clients on Tuesday. Over the
past several quarters, note book original design manufacturers have been
aggressively trying to diversify to non note book products, such as liquid
crystal display Tele Vision, servers, tablet Personal Communications Service
and smart mobile phones, to mitigate the impact from weakening demand for
notebooks, Kirk Yang said.
However, Kirk Yang believes that only Quanta has demonstrated the
capability to both diversify away from note books and maintain profitability at
the same time. According to Barclays’ report, Compal still has close to 80
percent revenue exposure to note books and has seen its operating margin drop to
its lowest point over the past 16 quarters, while Wistron still has 60 percent
revenue exposure to note books with liquid crystal display Tele Vision shipments
turning increasingly weaker. Pegatron derives 60 percent of its revenue from
its cloud computing business, but its margin on note books is just above break even
point, while Inventec still has 70 to 75 percent revenue from note books and it
continues to see sluggish margins, the report said.
Source: The Taipei Times
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